Volume 12, Issue 1 (January-February 2013)
Payesh 2013, 12(1): 45-52 |
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Fereshteh Zamani Alavijeh, Kambiz Ahmadi, Maryam Nadi, Hajar Zargani, Mina Rahdari. Road traffic injuries among patients attending central hospital of Masjed-Soleyman from March 2008 to 2010. Payesh 2013; 12 (1) :45-52
URL: http://payeshjournal.ir/article-1-387-en.html
URL: http://payeshjournal.ir/article-1-387-en.html
1- Public Health Department, Faculty of Health, Ahvaz University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
2- Epidemiology and Statistic Department, Faculty of Health, Ahvaz University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
3- Health Center of Masjed-Soleyman, Iran
4- Faculty of Health, Ahvaz University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
2- Epidemiology and Statistic Department, Faculty of Health, Ahvaz University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
3- Health Center of Masjed-Soleyman, Iran
4- Faculty of Health, Ahvaz University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
Abstract: (5185 Views)
Objective (s): To identify the predictive model of road traffic injuries by a time series model.
Methods: This was an analytical study involving patients attending central hospital of Masjed –Soleyman ( a city in Ahvaz Province), Iran during 24 months, from March 2008 to March 2010. Time series carried out to determine monthly occurrence of road traffic injuries in order to build a statistical model on data. The ARMA Box Jenkins linear model was used and an Autoregressive model was selected.
Results: Out of all 1210 injured patients referring to the hospital, 78.5% (n=950) were men. The mean age of patients was 30.57±17.08 years. The majority of injured (35.1%) were 20-29 years old. Autoregressive model was appropriate to describe our data over time. The result indicated the road traffic injuries had an increased pattern by 7 times as compare with previous month on average.
Conclusion: The frequency of road traffic injuries is high in men and young age adolescents. The pattern is increasing and there is need for serious public health considerations.
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Methods: This was an analytical study involving patients attending central hospital of Masjed –Soleyman ( a city in Ahvaz Province), Iran during 24 months, from March 2008 to March 2010. Time series carried out to determine monthly occurrence of road traffic injuries in order to build a statistical model on data. The ARMA Box Jenkins linear model was used and an Autoregressive model was selected.
Results: Out of all 1210 injured patients referring to the hospital, 78.5% (n=950) were men. The mean age of patients was 30.57±17.08 years. The majority of injured (35.1%) were 20-29 years old. Autoregressive model was appropriate to describe our data over time. The result indicated the road traffic injuries had an increased pattern by 7 times as compare with previous month on average.
Conclusion: The frequency of road traffic injuries is high in men and young age adolescents. The pattern is increasing and there is need for serious public health considerations.
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type of study: Descriptive |
Accepted: 2011/10/16 | ePublished ahead of print: 2013/01/27 | Published: 2013/01/15
Accepted: 2011/10/16 | ePublished ahead of print: 2013/01/27 | Published: 2013/01/15
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